Arizona State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
5  Shelby Houlihan JR 19:11
116  Adriana Olivas SO 20:07
180  Chiara Warner FR 20:19
389  Kala Stone FR 20:47
567  Shaina Corbin JR 21:03
638  Jenna Maack FR 21:09
694  Chelsey Totten FR 21:12
807  Macy Bricks JR 21:20
1,185  Miranda Kewley FR 21:44
1,490  Payton Schutte JR 22:03
National Rank #22 of 340
West Region Rank #6 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 47.0%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 17.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 20.0%
Top 10 in Regional 96.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shelby Houlihan Adriana Olivas Chiara Warner Kala Stone Shaina Corbin Jenna Maack Chelsey Totten Macy Bricks Miranda Kewley Payton Schutte
Roy Griak Invitational 09/28 790 19:15 20:21 20:58 21:09 21:01 21:08 21:20 21:36 22:03
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 637 19:17 19:50 20:24 20:59 21:02 21:39 21:10 22:05
Pac-12 Championships 11/02 581 19:09 19:55 20:14 20:36 21:20 21:13 21:46 21:39
West Region Championships 11/15 603 19:07 20:24 20:17 20:31 20:44 20:54 21:04
NCAA Championship 11/23 19:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 47.0% 21.6 517 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.4 2.3 2.5 3.9 4.3 4.7 5.0 4.7 4.9 3.7 2.8 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1
Region Championship 100% 6.8 216 0.0 0.4 1.8 4.9 12.9 29.3 20.6 14.1 8.3 4.2 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Houlihan 100% 7.3 5.4 8.6 8.0 7.5 6.8 6.7 5.8 4.9 4.4 4.3 3.7 3.1 3.4 2.5 2.7 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.9
Adriana Olivas 47.2% 92.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
Chiara Warner 47.0% 127.4
Kala Stone 47.0% 198.5
Shaina Corbin 47.0% 227.4
Jenna Maack 47.0% 234.7
Chelsey Totten 47.0% 238.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Houlihan 2.2 25.4 21.6 15.3 11.9 7.9 6.0 4.4 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adriana Olivas 23.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.2 3.3 3.3 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.0 4.3 3.9 3.8 3.4 3.4
Chiara Warner 35.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.5 2.0 1.8 2.0 2.6 2.3 2.7
Kala Stone 66.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Shaina Corbin 87.4
Jenna Maack 96.3
Chelsey Totten 100.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 2
3 1.8% 100.0% 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8 3
4 4.9% 98.4% 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 4.8 4
5 12.9% 92.1% 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.4 0.8 1.0 11.9 5
6 29.3% 71.2% 0.2 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.1 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.9 3.2 8.4 20.8 6
7 20.6% 30.4% 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.9 14.3 6.3 7
8 14.1% 6.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 13.1 1.0 8
9 8.3% 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2 0.1 9
10 4.2% 4.2 10
11 2.3% 2.3 11
12 0.9% 0.9 12
13 0.3% 0.3 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 47.0% 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.3 5.2 6.0 5.1 4.8 4.5 5.0 6.6 53.0 0.4 46.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Cornell 80.6% 1.0 0.8
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 35.7% 1.0 0.4
Boston College 31.0% 1.0 0.3
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 2.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 10.0